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14 Oct · 20:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
ASArtur Szoltysek
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1313
1-3Final setsKowalczyk won
MKMarcin Kowalczyk
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1350
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kowalczyk at 52%. The actual result was Marcin Kowalczyk 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Kowalczyk favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 74.5
68 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Artur Szoltysek is favoured to win, below means Marcin Kowalczyk.

▲ Artur Szoltysekpre 51% → final 5%
Marcin Kowalczyk ▼
Biggest swing 52 ptsKowalczyk recovered from 44%67 points · 4 games