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14 Oct · 20:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KGKuba Golaszewski
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1257
1-3Final setsZwolinski won
MZMariusz Zwolinski
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1341
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zwolinski at 54%. The actual result was Mariusz Zwolinski 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Zwolinski favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Set handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
4.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kuba Golaszewski is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Zwolinski.

▲ Kuba Golaszewskipre 49% → final 0%
Mariusz Zwolinski ▼
Biggest swing 54 pts72 points · 4 games