14 Oct · 23:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1526
FormWLWLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Koczyba
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1423
FormWLWLW
61%
39%
Fair odds · Koczyba
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 60% · 1.68· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+103
H2H13-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+103)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-4)