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Ratings & Predictions
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14 Oct · 21:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
ASAdam Staniczek
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1393
1-3Final setsZielinski won
MZMarcin Zielinski
🇵🇱Marcin Zielinski
ELO 1642
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zielinski at 76%. The actual result was Marcin Zielinski 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Zielinski favoured — closing 1.14
Favourite won
Total 68.5
79 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marcin Zielinski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Marcin Zielinski −10.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adam Staniczek is favoured to win, below means Marcin Zielinski.

▲ Adam Staniczekpre 25% → final 5%
Marcin Zielinski ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsZielinski recovered from 33%72 points · 4 games