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14 Oct · 23:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
ZNZbigniew Nocun
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1498
3-1Final setsNocun won
KBKrzysztof Bladziak
🇵🇱Krzysztof Bladziak
ELO 1423
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Nocun at 54%. The actual result was Zbigniew Nocun 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Zbigniew Nocun favoured — closing 1.55
Favourite won
Set handicap
Zbigniew Nocun −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Zbigniew Nocun −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.55
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Zbigniew Nocun is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Bladziak.

▲ Zbigniew Nocunpre 58% → final 90%
Krzysztof Bladziak ▼
Biggest swing 53 ptsNocun recovered from 43%72 points · 4 games