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15 Oct · 02:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KBKrzysztof Bladziak
🇵🇱Krzysztof Bladziak
ELO 1423
2-3Final setsBartosik won
DBDominik Bartosik
🇵🇱Dominik Bartosik
ELO 1476
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Bartosik at 55%. The actual result was Dominik Bartosik 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dominik Bartosik favoured — closing 1.25
Favourite won
Set handicap
Dominik Bartosik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Dominik Bartosik −8.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Bladziak is favoured to win, below means Dominik Bartosik.

▲ Krzysztof Bladziakpre 48% → final 1%
Dominik Bartosik ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsBartosik recovered from 26%72 points · 5 games