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14 Oct · 22:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MZMariusz Zwolinski
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1341
3-1Final setsZwolinski won
WSWaclaw Suchecki
🇵🇱Waclaw Suchecki
ELO 1229
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zwolinski at 61%. The actual result was Mariusz Zwolinski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Waclaw Suchecki favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 74.5
68 points played
Under
Set handicap
Waclaw Suchecki −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Waclaw Suchecki −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Zwolinski is favoured to win, below means Waclaw Suchecki.

▲ Mariusz Zwolinskipre 58% → final 96%
Waclaw Suchecki ▼
Biggest swing 51 pts72 points · 4 games