Lukasz Oracz vs Mariusz Koczyba — TT Elite Series

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14 Oct · 22:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz

ELO 1522

3-1Final setsOracz won

🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba

ELO 1513

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Koczyba at 52%. The actual result was Lukasz Oracz 3-1 — the underdog won.

Lukasz Oracz — profile →Mariusz Koczyba — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Mariusz Koczyba favoured — closing 1.7

Upset

Total 74.5

73 points played

Under

Set handicap

Mariusz Koczyba −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Mariusz Koczyba −1.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

4.2

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Lukasz Oracz is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Koczyba.

▲ Lukasz Oraczpre 44% → final 89%

Mariusz Koczyba ▼

Biggest swing 77 ptsOracz recovered from 23%72 points · 4 games