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14 Oct · 22:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PGPiotr Gesiarz
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1509
3-0Final setsGesiarz won
DGDariusz Gabrys
🇵🇱Dariusz Gabrys
ELO 1381
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Gesiarz at 60%. The actual result was Piotr Gesiarz 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotr Gesiarz favoured — closing 1.47
Favourite won
Total 72.5
47 points played
Under
Set handicap
Piotr Gesiarz −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Piotr Gesiarz −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
4.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Piotr Gesiarz is favoured to win, below means Dariusz Gabrys.

▲ Piotr Gesiarzpre 64% → final 100%
Dariusz Gabrys ▼
Biggest swing 43 pts46 points · 3 games