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14 Oct · 23:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
ASArtur Szoltysek
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1325
3-2Final setsSzoltysek won
MKMarcin Kowalczyk
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1325
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kowalczyk at 51%. The actual result was Artur Szoltysek 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Kowalczyk favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 74.5
99 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Artur Szoltysek is favoured to win, below means Marcin Kowalczyk.

▲ Artur Szoltysekpre 53% → final 5%
Marcin Kowalczyk ▼
Biggest swing 53 ptsKowalczyk recovered from 43%67 points · 4 games