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15 Oct · 01:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MWMiroslaw Warzecha
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1680
3-2Final setsWarzecha won
MZMarcin Zielinski
🇵🇱Marcin Zielinski
ELO 1642
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Warzecha at 53%. The actual result was Miroslaw Warzecha 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Zielinski favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 73.5
93 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marcin Zielinski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marcin Zielinski −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Miroslaw Warzecha is favoured to win, below means Marcin Zielinski.

▲ Miroslaw Warzechapre 50% → final 78%
Marcin Zielinski ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsWarzecha recovered from 19%72 points · 5 games