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14 Oct · 15:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KBKrzysztof Bladziak
🇵🇱Krzysztof Bladziak
ELO 1423
3-0Final setsBladziak won
ZNZbigniew Nocun
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1498
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Nocun at 54%. The actual result was Krzysztof Bladziak 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Zbigniew Nocun favoured — closing 1.55
Upset
Set handicap
Zbigniew Nocun −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Zbigniew Nocun −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Bladziak is favoured to win, below means Zbigniew Nocun.

▲ Krzysztof Bladziakpre 42% → final 10%
Zbigniew Nocun ▼
Biggest swing 53 ptsNocun recovered from 43%72 points · 4 games