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DeuceLab
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15 Oct · 02:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMariusz Koczyba
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1513
3-0Final setsKoczyba won
PPPawel Polok
🇵🇱Pawel Polok
ELO 1519
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Polok at 53%. The actual result was Mariusz Koczyba 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Koczyba favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Set handicap
Mariusz Koczyba −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mariusz Koczyba −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
6.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Koczyba is favoured to win, below means Pawel Polok.

▲ Mariusz Koczybapre 43% → final 100%
Pawel Polok ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsKoczyba recovered from 42%51 points · 3 games