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15 Oct · 04:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MOMichal Olbrycht
🇵🇱Michal Olbrycht
ELO 1640
3-1Final setsOlbrycht won
MMMichal Malachowski
🇵🇱Michal Malachowski
ELO 1715
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Malachowski at 60%. The actual result was Michal Olbrycht 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Malachowski favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 75.5
70 points played
Under
Set handicap
Michal Malachowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Malachowski −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Olbrycht is favoured to win, below means Michal Malachowski.

▲ Michal Olbrychtpre 36% → final 97%
Michal Malachowski ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsOlbrycht recovered from 30%69 points · 4 games