15 Oct · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kwapis
ELO 1623
FormLLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Jendrzejewski
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jendrzejewski
ELO 1673
FormLWLWW
45%
55%
🌟Jendrzejewski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (144)
Fair odds · Jendrzejewski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+50
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)