15 Oct · 07:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1359
FormLWLWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Stapor
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1500
FormWWWLW
35%
65%
🌟Stapor goes over total as favourite 62% (45)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~78 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+141
H2H26-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-16)