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15 Oct · 05:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
HTHenryk Tkaczyk
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1621
3-0Final setsTkaczyk won
KHKrzysztof Hetnar
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1640
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Hetnar at 54%. The actual result was Henryk Tkaczyk 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Henryk Tkaczyk favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 73.5
60 points played
Under
Set handicap
Henryk Tkaczyk −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Henryk Tkaczyk −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
6.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Henryk Tkaczyk is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Hetnar.

▲ Henryk Tkaczykpre 49% → final 94%
Krzysztof Hetnar ▼
Biggest swing 55 ptsTkaczyk recovered from 41%59 points · 3 games