15 Oct · 08:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MO
🇵🇱Michal Olbrycht
ELO 1640
FormWLWLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Wloczko
KW
🇵🇱Krzysztof Wloczko
ELO 1752
FormWLWWW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Wloczko
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+112
H2H11-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-1)