15 Oct · 08:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MC
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1344
FormWLLLW
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Tkaczyk
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1621
FormWLLWL
23%
77%
🌟Cesarz goes over total as underdog 62% (66)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~74 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+277
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+277)