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15 Oct · 07:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KSKarol Sulkowski
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1335
3-1Final setsSulkowski won
JLJakub Lamperski
🇵🇱Jakub Lamperski
ELO 1510
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lamperski at 70%. The actual result was Karol Sulkowski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Lamperski favoured — closing 1.32
Upset
Total 72.5
81 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jakub Lamperski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jakub Lamperski −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
7.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Sulkowski is favoured to win, below means Jakub Lamperski.

▲ Karol Sulkowskipre 25% → final 84%
Jakub Lamperski ▼
Biggest swing 81 ptsSulkowski recovered from 15%72 points · 4 games