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15 Oct · 07:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BWBartlomiej Wisniewski
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1306
1-3Final setsLukaszewski won
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1304
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wisniewski at 52%. The actual result was Mikolaj Lukaszewski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartlomiej Wisniewski favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 77.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Bartlomiej Wisniewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Bartlomiej Wisniewski −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Wisniewski is favoured to win, below means Mikolaj Lukaszewski.

▲ Bartlomiej Wisniewskipre 49% → final 5%
Mikolaj Lukaszewski ▼
Biggest swing 53 ptsLukaszewski recovered from 43%72 points · 4 games