15 Oct · 10:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jendrzejewski
ELO 1658
FormLLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Malachowski
MM
🇵🇱Michal Malachowski
ELO 1719
FormWWLWL
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jendrzejewski🌟Jendrzejewski covers set handicap as underdog 66% (106)
Fair odds · Malachowski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 47% · 2.11· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+61
H2H8-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)