15 Oct · 09:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WG
🇵🇱Waldemar Glanowski
ELO 1377
FormWLWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Sokolowski
OS
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1451
FormLLLLL
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Glanowski🌟Glanowski covers set handicap as underdog 66% (59)
Fair odds · Sokolowski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+74
H2H8-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-2)