15 Oct · 10:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1421
FormLLLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1511
FormWLLWL
40%
60%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+90
H2H10-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-5)