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15 Oct · 08:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
HTHenryk Tkaczyk
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1607
0-3Final setsKurek won
PKPawel Kurek
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1510
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkaczyk at 63%. The actual result was Pawel Kurek 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Henryk Tkaczyk favoured — closing 1.52
Upset
Total 73.5
74 points played
Over
Set handicap
Henryk Tkaczyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Henryk Tkaczyk −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Henryk Tkaczyk is favoured to win, below means Pawel Kurek.

▲ Henryk Tkaczykpre 61% → final 15%
Pawel Kurek ▼
Biggest swing 54 ptsKurek recovered from 39%72 points · 3 games