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15 Oct · 08:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MCMilosz Cesarz
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1360
3-2Final setsCesarz won
KHKrzysztof Hetnar
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1637
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Hetnar at 79%. The actual result was Milosz Cesarz 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Krzysztof Hetnar favoured — closing 1.12
Upset
Total 67.5
94 points played
Over
Set handicap
Krzysztof Hetnar −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Krzysztof Hetnar −10.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
11
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Milosz Cesarz is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Hetnar.

▲ Milosz Cesarzpre 22% → final 96%
Krzysztof Hetnar ▼
Biggest swing 96 ptsCesarz recovered from 3%72 points · 5 games