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Ratings & Predictions
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15 Oct · 10:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KKKrzysztof Kapik
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1623
2-3Final setsMalachowski won
MMMichal Malachowski
🇵🇱Michal Malachowski
ELO 1748
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Malachowski at 60%. The actual result was Michal Malachowski 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Malachowski favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 75.5
94 points played
Over
Set handicap
Malachowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Malachowski −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Kapik is favoured to win, below means Michal Malachowski.

▲ Krzysztof Kapikpre 36% → final 21%
Michal Malachowski ▼
Biggest swing 75 ptsMalachowski recovered from 6%72 points · 5 games