15 Oct · 12:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1541
FormLWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Pruszkowski
OS
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1461
FormWWLLL
59%
41%
🌟Sokolowski covers set handicap as underdog 65% (145)
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+80
H2H8-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-1)