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15 Oct · 11:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MOMichal Olbrycht
🇵🇱Michal Olbrycht
ELO 1649
3-1Final setsOlbrycht won
BCBartosz Czerwinski
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1651
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Czerwinski at 54%. The actual result was Michal Olbrycht 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Olbrycht favoured — closing 1.4
Favourite won
Total 75.5
69 points played
Under
Set handicap
Olbrycht −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Olbrycht −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.2
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Olbrycht is favoured to win, below means Bartosz Czerwinski.

▲ Michal Olbrychtpre 49% → final 99%
Bartosz Czerwinski ▼
Biggest swing 51 pts68 points · 4 games