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15 Oct · 11:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
WGWaldemar Glanowski
🇵🇱Waldemar Glanowski
ELO 1376
3-2Final setsGlanowski won
JNJakub Nowak
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1388
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Nowak at 52%. The actual result was Waldemar Glanowski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Nowak favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 79.5
92 points played
Over
Set handicap
Nowak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Nowak −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Waldemar Glanowski is favoured to win, below means Jakub Nowak.

▲ Waldemar Glanowskipre 51% → final 10%
Jakub Nowak ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsNowak recovered from 27%72 points · 4 games