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15 Oct · 13:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MOMichal Olbrycht
🇵🇱Michal Olbrycht
ELO 1649
3-2Final setsOlbrycht won
KKKrzysztof Kapik
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1623
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Olbrycht at 52%. The actual result was Michal Olbrycht 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Olbrycht favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 74.5
95 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Olbrycht −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Olbrycht −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Olbrycht is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Kapik.

▲ Michal Olbrychtpre 56% → final 77%
Krzysztof Kapik ▼
Biggest swing 66 ptsOlbrycht recovered from 11%72 points · 5 games