15 Oct · 15:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WG
🇵🇱Waldemar Glanowski
ELO 1376
FormLWLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Sokolowski
OS
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1459
FormLWLWW
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Glanowski🌟Glanowski covers set handicap as underdog 66% (59)
Fair odds · Sokolowski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+83
H2H9-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-2)