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15 Oct · 18:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MTMarek Tkocz
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1592
2-3Final setsJurowicz won
GJGrzegorz Jurowicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1431
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkocz at 70%. The actual result was Grzegorz Jurowicz 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marek Tkocz favoured — closing 1.37
Upset
Total 72.5
85 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marek Tkocz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marek Tkocz −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marek Tkocz is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Jurowicz.

▲ Marek Tkoczpre 75% → final 1%
Grzegorz Jurowicz ▼
Biggest swing 74 ptsJurowicz recovered from 25%72 points · 5 games