15 Oct · 23:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1401
FormWLWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Myszewski
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1330
FormWWWWW
58%
42%
🌟Rolak covers set handicap as underdog 82% (28)
Fair odds · Myszewski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 61% · 1.63· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+71
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)