15 Oct · 23:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1501
FormWLWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Michalik
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1387
FormLLLWL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Michalik
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+114
H2H56-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+114)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (56-27)