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15 Oct · 23:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
LOLukasz Oracz
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1503
3-0Final setsOracz won
PGPiotr Gumulinski
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1492
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Gumulinski at 51%. The actual result was Lukasz Oracz 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lukasz Oracz favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 76.5
55 points played
Under
Set handicap
Lukasz Oracz −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Lukasz Oracz −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
5.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Lukasz Oracz is favoured to win, below means Piotr Gumulinski.

▲ Lukasz Oraczpre 53% → final 89%
Piotr Gumulinski ▼
Biggest swing 44 pts53 points · 3 games