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15 Oct · 22:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PKPawel Kurek
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1508
1-3Final setsJurowicz won
GJGrzegorz Jurowicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1443
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kurek at 60%. The actual result was Grzegorz Jurowicz 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pawel Kurek favoured — closing 1.4
Upset
Total 73.5
67 points played
Under
Set handicap
Pawel Kurek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Pawel Kurek −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Kurek is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Jurowicz.

▲ Pawel Kurekpre 57% → final 1%
Grzegorz Jurowicz ▼
Biggest swing 77 ptsJurowicz recovered from 22%66 points · 4 games