16 Oct · 02:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1508
FormLWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kurek
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1503
FormWLLWL
50%
50%
🌟Oracz covers set handicap as underdog 67% (55)
Fair odds · Kurek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 47% · 2.13· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H11-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.