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16 Oct · 00:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KGKuba Golaszewski
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1248
3-1Final setsGolaszewski won
PKPiotr Krukar
🇵🇱Piotr Krukar
ELO 1357
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Krukar at 63%. The actual result was Kuba Golaszewski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotr Krukar favoured — closing 1.57
Upset
Total 75.5
79 points played
Over
Set handicap
Piotr Krukar −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Piotr Krukar −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kuba Golaszewski is favoured to win, below means Piotr Krukar.

▲ Kuba Golaszewskipre 39% → final 86%
Piotr Krukar ▼
Biggest swing 63 ptsGolaszewski recovered from 27%72 points · 4 games