16 Oct · 01:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1505
3-1Final setsKurek won
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1594
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Tkocz at 61%. The actual result was Pawel Kurek 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Marek Tkocz favoured — closing 1.35
Total 72.5
76 points played
Set handicap
Marek Tkocz −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Marek Tkocz −7.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Kurek is favoured to win, below means Marek Tkocz.
▲ Pawel Kurekpre 35% → final 87%
Marek Tkocz ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsKurek recovered from 21%72 points · 4 games