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16 Oct · 01:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JMJerzy Michalik
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1495
3-1Final setsMichalik won
MWMichal Wolny
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1482
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wolny at 50%. The actual result was Jerzy Michalik 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Wolny favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 74.5
68 points played
Under
Set handicap
Michal Wolny −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Wolny −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.05
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jerzy Michalik is favoured to win, below means Michal Wolny.

▲ Jerzy Michalikpre 46% → final 95%
Michal Wolny ▼
Biggest swing 65 ptsMichalik recovered from 30%67 points · 4 games