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← TT Elite Series predictions
16 Oct · 03:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JMJerzy Michalik
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1495
3-2Final setsMichalik won
ASAdam Staniczek
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1398
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Michalik at 59%. The actual result was Jerzy Michalik 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jerzy Michalik favoured — closing 1.27
Favourite won
Total 73.5
80 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jerzy Michalik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jerzy Michalik −7.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.55
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jerzy Michalik is favoured to win, below means Adam Staniczek.

▲ Jerzy Michalikpre 63% → final 98%
Adam Staniczek ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsMichalik recovered from 28%72 points · 5 games