16 Oct · 06:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1334
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sulkowski
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1315
FormWLWLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 52% · 1.91· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H13-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.