16 Oct · 06:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1406
FormLWLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Fomin
YF
🇵🇱Yurij Fomin
ELO 1509
FormWLWWW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 70% · 1.42· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~81 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+103
H2H12-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+103)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-3)