16 Oct · 06:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1495
FormWWLLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Zelezik
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1658
FormWWLWL
33%
67%
🌟Michalik covers set handicap as underdog 67% (48)
Fair odds · Zelezik
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~75 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+163
H2H25-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+163)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-5)