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16 Oct · 04:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PKPawel Kurek
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1505
1-3Final setsGumulinski won
PGPiotr Gumulinski
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1502
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kurek at 53%. The actual result was Piotr Gumulinski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotr Gumulinski favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Set handicap
Piotr Gumulinski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Piotr Gumulinski −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Kurek is favoured to win, below means Piotr Gumulinski.

▲ Pawel Kurekpre 50% → final 100%
Piotr Gumulinski ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsKurek recovered from 43%63 points · 3 games