16 Oct · 07:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1505
FormLWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Guzik
MG
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1553
FormLWWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Guzik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+48
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)