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16 Oct · 06:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KWKarol Wisniewski
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1582
3-2Final setsWisniewski won
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1659
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 58%. The actual result was Karol Wisniewski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.47
Upset
Total 74.5
85 points played
Over
Set handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Wisniewski is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Poliniewicz.

▲ Karol Wisniewskipre 38% → final 75%
Grzegorz Poliniewicz ▼
Biggest swing 69 ptsWisniewski recovered from 6%72 points · 5 games