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16 Oct · 06:25 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PGPiotr Gumulinski
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1471
2-3Final setsGuzik won
MGMichal Guzik
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1554
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Guzik at 55%. The actual result was Michal Guzik 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Guzik favoured — closing 1.52
Favourite won
Total 74.5
88 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Guzik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Guzik −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Piotr Gumulinski is favoured to win, below means Michal Guzik.

▲ Piotr Gumulinskipre 41% → final 10%
Michal Guzik ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsGuzik recovered from 24%72 points · 5 games