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16 Oct · 07:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JKJakub Kaczmarek
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1393
3-1Final setsKaczmarek won
PGPiotr Gumulinski
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1471
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Gumulinski at 60%. The actual result was Jakub Kaczmarek 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotr Gumulinski favoured — closing 1.57
Upset
Total 77.5
82 points played
Over
Set handicap
Piotr Gumulinski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Piotr Gumulinski −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Kaczmarek is favoured to win, below means Piotr Gumulinski.

▲ Jakub Kaczmarekpre 36% → final 87%
Piotr Gumulinski ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsKaczmarek recovered from 31%72 points · 4 games